Categories
Agricultural Investing Argentina Articles Latin America relations Uncategorized Uruguay

Uruguay’s Controversial Trade Dealings with China

An article from the China Daily about recent trade discussions between Uruguay and China and how these discussions are impacting neighboring countries in LatAm.  My bold and comments in italics:

China, Uruguay establish strategic partnership

China, Uruguay establish strategic partnership

Chinese President Xi Jinping (R) shakes hands with his Uruguayan counterpart Tabare Vazquez during their talks at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, capital of China, Oct 18, 2016. [Photo/Xinhua]

BEIJING — Chinese President Xi Jinping and his Uruguayan counterpart Tabare Vazquez on Tuesday agreed to establish a strategic partnership based on respect, equality and mutual benefit. (Vazquez also signed infrastructure investment and technical agreements that will pave the way for greater agricultural exports to China)

The two heads of state made the decision during talks in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing following a red-carpet welcome ceremony.

Xi urged China and the Latin American country to maintain high-level exchanges and enhance communication at all levels to promote mutual understanding and trust. (Uruguay’s bid for a free trade agreement, however, is not without controversy.  Uruguay is one of the five full members of MERCOSUR, along with Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Venezuela.  Argentina’s President, Mauricio Macri, said on Oct 20th that any China-Uruguay free trade agreement negotiations should be conducted through MERCOSUR.  According to the bloc’s rules, full member states cannot negotiate free trade agreements with non-members without consent of their MERCOSUR peers.  Vazquez responded to Macri by saying that Argentina and Brazil have been pushing for more flexible rules that would allow members to negotiate bilateral trade agreements)

China appreciates Uruguayan support for the Belt and Road initiative, and hopes both sides will strengthen integration of development strategies to upgrade economic and trade ties, said Xi.

China is willing to encourage more investment in Uruguay, channelled toward infrastructure projects, Xi stressed, adding that the country is also looking forward to expanding cooperation in agriculture, clean energy, communications, mining, manufacturing and finance.

In addition, Xi called on both sides to promote people-to-people exchanges and lift ties in culture, education, science and technology, Antarctica, tourism as well as football sport.

As for global affairs, Xi said that China is ready to strengthen collaboration with Uruguay in climate change, economic governance, UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, peace-keeping and South-South cooperation.

On China-Latin America relations, Xi stressed that China is a strong supporter for Latin American stability, unity and development. China is ready to work with Latin American countries to forge a community of shared future. (The other side of this argument was articulated by Argentina and Brazil when they voiced that China was the major exception to their pro-trade rhetoric.  Both governments are under pressure at home that a China-Uruguay free trade deal would exacerbate their manufacturing sectors, particularly that Chinese imports could outcompete their local products.  For example, Brazil wants to negotiate a trade deal that makes it easier to export the higher-value goods it produces, such as aircraft, but is reluctant to allow more Chinese imports into its borders).

Echoing Xi’s remarks, Vazquez said that the establishment of a strategic partnership will begin a new chapter of Uruguay-China ties. Uruguay welcomes more Chinese investment in the country and is willing to negotiate a free trade agreement with China.

Uruguay supports the one-China policy and backs China’s reunification, according to Vazquez.

Speaking highly of China’s significant role in global affairs, Vazquez stressed that Uruguay was ready to work with China to push forward Latin America-China relations and enhance coordination on international and regional issues.

Macri and Vazquez met on Oct 24 in Buenos Aires to further discuss Uruguay’s potential deal with China.  More on that shortly

Categories
Agricultural Investing Articles Cattle Investing Uncategorized Uruguay

Uruguayan Argo-Industry Continues to Drive Economy Forward

Below is an article from WorldFolio about the growing agro-industry in Uruguay and how it’s driving their economy forward.  My bold and comments in italics.

Food exports grow as agro-industry continues to drive economy forward

Uruguayan Cattle

The Minister of Agriculture wants to see the nation of 3 million people produce food for as many as 50 million in the next 15 years. But as Uruguay continues to increase the quantity of exports and reach new markets, it aims to maintain the high quality for which its agricultural and meat products are renowned (I think this will be the biggest challenge for Uruguay in their efforts to meet this goal: scale accordingly while maintaining high quality standards; something they’re world-renowned for).

Financial experts have long been bullish over the state of Uruguay’s economy, praising the nation for developing a strong institutional framework that has helped it weather external shocks.

Last year the World Bank categorized Uruguay’s macroeconomic policy as “prudent,” though the global finance overseer expressed concerns over “relatively high” debt and an export system that is based largely on connections to other countries in the region ( It should be noted that Uruguay’s national debt decreased by nearly $500M USD from Q1 to Q2 2016.  This connection with other countries in the region doesn’t have to be seen as a completely negative characteristic, especially since Uruguay is the world’s 4th and 6th largest exporter of rice and soybeans respectively.  Their beef products also export to over 150 world markets, speaking to their reach beyond LatAm). With this in mind, officials in Uruguay have expressed a desire to widen the reach of its agriculture industry outside of its neighboring states.

“Uruguay is a country that in 2005 produced food for 9 million people, and we were a country of 3 million,” says Uruguay’s Minister of Agriculture Tabaré Aguerre. “Today we produce food for 28 million people, and we are still 3 million. My goal is to produce food for 50 million people in 15 years.” (That’s a 3x increase in food production in just 11 years. All they have to do to reach 50 million is double again in 15 years.  I think this is absolutely feasible).   

According to Mr. Aguerre, 55% of Uruguay’s industrial output is made up of agro-industries, along with 47% of all industrial sector jobs. The agriculture minister explained this relative leg-up on the competition was due in part to Uruguay’s place in the world and a wide range of recent changes in Uruguay’s economy.

“In the same way that investment have increased, the rate of exportation has also increased from Uruguay. Uruguay tripled the value of its exports, not in volume, but rather in value. We are a country that exports close to $10 billion in goods and services, with 80% of those being goods. And inside of that 80%, 78% of the exports are agriculture or livestock or agro-industry,” Mr. Aguerre says.

“Uruguay has comparative natural advantages, but beyond these, we have developed intelligent competitive advantages by improving genetics, the production system, research […] the national seed certification program [or] the national quality fertilizer program.” (This tells me Uruguay is doing more than just resting on the laurels of their God-given agricultural land.  They’re innovating and adapting; a sign that their success in agriculture will continue).

Originally made agriculture minister in 2010, Mr. Aguerre has made a career as an agronomist researching everything from rice cultivation to cattle breeding in Uruguay. He was recently reappointed to the role in 2015 by Uruguayan President Tabaré Vazquez.

“That is how we are taking advantage of the window of opportunity that the decade from 2005 to 2015 gave us. [It has been] a time of great structural transformation in the world, particularly in the world of food production.”

Mr. Aguerre also highlighted an accelerated process of economic convergence during that time period, when “the growth rate for developed countries [was] less than the growth rate for developing countries.” (Once this gap closes, maybe completely, many international investors will begin to realize the underutilized value of agricultural land in Uruguay and LatAm, writ large.  When that happens, expect land prices in Uruguay to rise with a growing investor sentiment.  Get in early while prices are still good).

Because of that, he said, “the gap between the two is continuing to close.”

Executives in Uruguay have also pointed to the agricultural industry as a source of advantages in the world of business and economics.

“A few years ago, after several attempts to identify which would be the economic sectors that would push Uruguay to development, it was reconfirmed that the agro-industry was an extremely important for the economy of this country. The sector is not seasonal, gives activity the whole year and also invigorates other complementary sectors such as transport, or retail,” says Gastón Scayola, Vice President of Frigorífico San Jacinto NIREA S.A., a meat producer and exporter located in Montevideo. (Uruguay’s predictable, year-round rainfall, geographic location above the world’s largest aquifer, the potential for two crops per year growing cycles, developed land rental market, and limited government intervention also characterizes the strength of Uruguay’s agro-business market).


Left: Tabaré Aguerre, Minister of Agriculture | Right: Álvaro Silberstein, General Manager, Paycueros-Sadesa


“We have a great responsibility in terms of employment and the sector is the answer for most of the growth in the last few years (An understanding of the nation’s responsibility to its people). Obviously other activities such as the financial sector and tourism are also key activities for Uruguay, but our livelihood is agriculture for the long-term bet. In a world where much food will be needed over the coming years, this area of South America is destined to produce more and better.” (The world’s population is expected to reach 9.7 billion people by 2050.  That equates to about a 60% increase in food production.  I believe Latin American agriculture is poised to not only support this growth trend, but profit from it.)

Frigorífico San Jacinto has billed itself as a producer of high-quality beef products. In September 2015, the company made its first shipment of naturally produced Uruguayan beef certified by the US Department of Agriculture as “Never Ever 3” grade. This marking denotes that the meat is free from antibiotics and growth hormones, a fact which has reportedly helped to consolidate Uruguay’s exports in a market where demand for naturally raised and processed meat is growing steadily. (This is especially true as the demand from US consumers for quality, grass-fed beef continues to rise, e.g. Verde Farms, who get a good portion of their beef from Uruguay).

Mr. Scayola has also lauded Uruguay as a hub of traceability, a system whereby animals are monitored via a microchip attached to their ear. These microchips tell agricultural experts the dates when the animals passed inspection, the place they came from and where they are going. (Uruguayan beef is 100% traceable, meaning every piece of meat from an animal can be traced to its originating farm). 

He explains that only a country as small as Uruguay could maintain such a close eye on their cattle and adds that his company has been the recent benefactor of a US decision to allow ovine (sheep) meat on the bone to be exported from Uruguay.

“The United States enabled us [to export] boneless meat a few years ago and now [they] have just approved the entry of meat with bone, thanks to the separation of sheep and cattle in the fields,” he says.

“With regards to sheep, we [have] 30% market share. We are the leading company and the one that has been the most aggressive in developing new markets and producing premium meat. San Jacinto are the only US enabled sheep plant.”

“It means a lot to get into the United States. [We can] enter the US market and fight with Australia, but also, once the United States approves the original mechanism theme compartment, immediately there is a high probability that Canada and Mexico [will also start accepting our goods], and that process can also open Europe. So we have many fronts and the United States is the first step of many.” (They understand the importance of needing to reach beyond the markets in their immediate vicinity into the global stage).

Executives elsewhere in Uruguay also highlighted a need to make the nation a more lucrative player in international trade. Álvaro Silberstein, General Manager of Paycueros-Sadesa, a leather exporter based Paysandú in western Uruguay, says that the country must specifically focus on agro-industry productivity.

“We have always considered that Uruguay should grow by relying on its export sector,” Mr. Silberstein says.

Founded in 1948, Paycuwas created with a “vision” that would advance exportation. As a part Sadesa, one of the leading group of tanners in the world, the company specialized in high-quality leather production for some of the “most prestigious” companies around the globe.

Mr. Silberstein explains the factors behind the quality of the hides the company uses.

“Meat companies operating in Uruguay are the largest exporters. Many also sell in the local market but they are basically exporters. Therefore, they are very technologically up to date. That makes the extraction of hides very precise – all machining and no knife. The hides are removed very healthily and that is also very important for us,” Mr. Silberstein says.

“In addition, because of the type of pasture we have and the type of production that is done, hides do not suffer as much as in tropical areas, where problems can affect the value of the material. That makes Uruguayan and Argentinian hides a sought after commodity in the world.”

Today the company boasts offices on five continents and a global export network that spans from South America to Asia.  (Again, a global reach)

“Our vocation is as an exporter. In the case of hides, Uruguay does not have a market of significant consumption, and therefore the strategy is to add value to domestic raw materials and export them to the world.

“This new situation of slower growth should be seen as a new opportunity to re-look at export markets, and how to create the conditions for growth based on those exports. We have the conditions to do so because we have raw materials that will continue to be demanded around the world, and the ability to convert and add value that may be appropriate for the country through exports.” (China is also a strong market for Uruguay’s sheep and beef products)

However, others have urged an element of caution in Uruguay’s long-term export strategy. According to a study by the Observatory of Economic Complexity, Uruguay’s annual exports amount to more than $9 billion, with agro-industry staples like bovine meat, rice and soybeans being the largest export earners. The main importers of these Uruguayan goods are neighboring Brazil and Argentina, along with the US and China.

Industry insider William Johnson says this dependency on importing nations makes keeping a wary eye on economic activity outside of Uruguay crucial. (Agreed, but not a limiting factor, especially if Uruguay can continue to build their quality leather and sheep-meat markets up to the current levels of their beef products).

“Our goal is to eventually get to a point where we are not only exporting [material], but we want to add value [too],” he adds.

“We are a services country and we have to be tied a bit to the forces that guide the world.

“When Argentina goes off the rails, we have to look to our side to Brazil. When Brazil goes off the rails, we have to look to our side to Argentina. And when both are off the rails, it’s when we suffer big problems. We can’t export so much and then let sales and production fall. Because we are such a small country it’s difficult to compete in the rest of the world without the support of Argentina and Brazil.”

 

Categories
Agricultural Investing Argentina Articles South American Agriculture Uncategorized

Ask the Expert: Michael DeSa on Latin American Farmland Investments

Below, you’ll find a recent interview piece with Monica Ganley from Quarterra.

DeSa Family Farm in Argentina
DeSa Family Farm in Argentina

http://www.quarterra.com/blog/2016/10/27/ask-the-expert-michael-desa-on-latin-american-farmland-investments

Categories
Articles Uncategorized

Argentina’s Changing Agricultural Sector

Below is an article written by Monica Ganley, the principal at Quarterra.  Quarterra is a Buenos Aires-based consulting firm offering international strategic planning, research, and business development services to organizations and individuals in the agriculture and food space who are global or considering becoming so.  Excellent insight into Argentina’s shifting investment climate, particularly in the agricultural sector.  Find my areas of interest in bold and comments in [].

Argentina’s Agricultural Sector Open for Business? Prove it.

Since taking office on December 10th of last year, president Mauricio Macri has made a concerted effort to restore Argentina’s relevance on the global stage. Unlike his most recent predecessors, who attempted to insulate the country from international competition and shunned interaction with certain nations, especially the United States, Macri rapidly implemented a number of policies and measures designed to reinsert, and amplify, Argentina’s role in global commerce.

Many of these measures were well publicized. A few months after taking office Macri famously reached a settlement with the vulture funds that held Argentine debt left over from the country’s economic collapse in 2001. Shortly thereafter Argentina completed a vastly oversubscribed sale of $16.5 billion in government bonds, which according to the Financial Times was the largest bond sale ever from an emerging market [ I believe this speaks to how foreign investor sentiment is beginning to change for the positive towards Argentina.  According to the Wall Street Journal, Argentina’s new 10-year bonds will yield 7.5%, compared with an average yield of 6% for the J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Global Diversified Index].  In addition, Macri has rid the country of its parallel currency exchange market and has generally taken measures to reduce bureaucracy and improve efficiency [When I was there in mid-2015, the difference in exchange rate between the official and the “black market” value was nearly 40%.  That gap has now all but disappeared].

The agriculture sector has of course been the beneficiary of many of these changes as well. A reduction or elimination of the retentions (essentially export taxes) on key commodities has dramatically shifted Argentina’s possibilities for participating in global agricultural trade. As a result, many are feeling more optimistic than they have in recent memory and the general sentiment is that the country will now begin to move toward reclaiming its global prominence in everything from beef to row crops [In April 2016, Argentina’s beef exports were up 25% from the same time last year, likely due in large part to the USDA’s lifting of a 14-year old hold on the importation of Argentine beef products].

To further prove that Argentina’s attitude toward the world has fundamentally shifted, in mid September Macri’s administration hosted the first Argentina Business and Investment Forum. The event was attended by over 2,000 global business leaders and featured prominent speakers from both the public and private sector. The forum was very professionally produced and went a long way toward showcasing the seriousness with which Argentina is approaching the desire for increased foreign investment. Macri even opened the meeting by giving a greeting in English, a move that his predecessor would certainly never have even considered [While this may seem like a small gesture, I believe it was a powerful one that speaks to Argentina’s commitment to helping restore a level of comfort in Argentina for many US investors].

As one of the country’s key growth engines, agriculture formed a cornerstone of the event. Speakers included representatives from Brazil Foods, AgTech Innovator S4, Syngenta, Adecoagro, and Grupo Los Grobo, among others. One presentation that I found to be particularly poignant was that given by Juan Luciano, Chairman and CEO of Archer Daniels Midland. He said,

“I would say that [I look to the future] with a lot of optimism…There is a clear message from President Macri and the administration to reinsert Argentina into the global context…Companies like ourselves are always seeing Argentina and its possibilities. In the past maybe when conditions weren’t so supportive of investment one thought about investments from the point of view of efficiency. Now one begins to think more in terms of opportunities for growth in Argentina and how to add value.”

Mr. Luciano’s comments perfectly capture the sentiment of the moment. Many people are beginning to pay more attention to the opportunities that Argentina has to offer. However, there is still a long way to go before investors will have their faith in the country fully restored. From my point of view there are several key issues that the Macri administration will have to thoughtfully address if they hope to continue marching toward increased acceptance from the global investor community. These issues include:

  1. Transparency
  2. Follow Through
  3. Rule of Law
  4. Resilience
  5. Infrastructure

 

Transparency

A lack of transparency has long been one of the complaints waged against the prior administration which was notorious for manipulating statistics on everything from inflation to the percent of the population living in poverty. Macri and his team have already made some important changes when it comes to transparency. For example, they have rebuilt the national statistics bureau and have been regularly producing inflation estimates that are even more aggressive than independent industry experts. In addition, new tools have been introduced to monitor statistics specifically within the agricultural ministry [The government also plans to submit to economic monitoring by the IMF.  While this is generally normal for members of the fund, Argentina has refused it since 2006].

While the changes to this point have been significant, it will be critical that the administration continues to emphasize transparency as a key element in future policy developments. While the government has managed to maintain a relatively strong reputation to this point, that will rapidly be undone if it is discovered that information has been misrepresented.

Follow Through

While Macri undoubtedly uncovered a bigger mess than expected once he took office, if he hopes to restore investor confidence, it will be very important that his actions align with his words and that promises made come to fruition. One area of concern related to follow through at the moment is related to the soybean export tax.

One of Macri’s first agricultural policies was to eliminate the export tax levied on corn and wheat. The soy tax, which originally stood at 35% was to be stepped down by 5% each year, in order to ease the transition of its elimination. However, there has been some noise recently of the government’s intention to reverse this decision and delay the next export tax reduction.

Although these rumors haven’t been substantiated, I feel that it is very important that the administration continue with the planned export tax deductions. While the absolute tax level is perhaps not that important, what is key is demonstrating the government’s resolve to be a consistent player [I believe this relates directly to the previous point about the need for transparency.  It’s not enough to have one without the other].  Choosing to backtrack on this policy decision at this point will undermine the government’s attempt to demonstrate that they are a fixed variable in investment decisions.

Rule of Law

Ensuring that the country’s laws and institutions are respected will be very important for restoring investor confidence in Argentina. In the agriculture sector in particular many of these laws revolve around intellectual property. The most famous case of late is that of Monsanto whose proprietary, GMO seeds have become a magnet for intellectual property disputes. For a company such as Monsanto, that is making materially important investments in the country, the concern is whether the laws that exist will be applied in a fair and consistent manner. Macri’s administration will have to ensure that this is the case if they hope to bring additional dollars into the economy.

Resilience

For the purposes of this article, being resilient means staying the course, despite potentially extraordinary pressure from different stakeholder groups. This is perhaps one of the most difficult demands on the administration, as many of the country’s agricultural groups have become accustomed to making a fuss until their demands (usually a subsidy of some kind) are met [While perhaps one of the most difficult, I would argue that it’s the most critical aspect for a successful restoration of Argentina to her former glory days].  Similar to the other points, staying strong in the face of intensifying interest group demands will not be easy, but it is the only way if the government hopes to maintain its credibility.

Infrastructure

Finally, it is well known that Argentina’s infrastructure is sorely lacking. The proper and efficient movement of agricultural inputs and production are disrupted to a great extent by a lack of adequate transportation options. Investing in infrastructure is one way the government should get involved in the agriculture economy and this action can send a powerful signal. Producers will interpret the investments as a type of support while foreign investors can view such infrastructure investments as proof that the government is a true partner and is putting their own ‘money where their mouth is.’

Undoubtedly Macri’s administration is facing incredible competition for funds coming from a variety of sectors. However, I truly believe that making nominal investments in infrastructure improvements will instill new confidence in Argentina’s agricultural economy and will make a powerful statement to potential investors.

As the new president of Argentina who is trying to help the country shed its populist skin and adopt an attitude of interaction and collaboration with the global community, Mauricio Macri has an incredibly difficult role. While the job he has done has been largely commendable to this point, he and his administration cannot rest on their laurels. If they hope to continue restoring investor confidence and promoting the opportunities that the country offers, it will be imperative that they continue to emphasize Transparency, Follow Through, Rule of Law, Resilience, and Infrastructure.

Categories
Articles Uncategorized

Uruguay’s Sudden Surge in Farm Sales Activity

Uruguay Surge in Farmland Sales - 2016

An excerpt from a recent FarmsUY report highlighting a surge in Uruguayan farmland activity:

Uruguay farmland sales are rising as more investors take advantage of lower asking prices, writes El Observador’s Andrés Oyhenard. “Uruguayans Take Advantage of Lower Prices And Are Buying Again” is the headline of Oyhenard’s analysis which suggests average prices may have bottomed in the first quarter of this year when the average price paid for farmland nationwide fell 4% compared to same period in 2015. “The data from the Agricultural Statistics Agency (DIEA) show that the pace of farm sales activity rose significantly in the closing weeks of the first half of the year. While only 165 farms sold in Uruguay between January and March, that number surged 87% to 308 farms sold in the three-month period from April to June with the total area of farmland sold quadrupled between the first quarter and the second quarter,” writes Oyhenard. (El Observador)

Source:  South America Crop Report for September 26, 2016

Now is the time to take advantage of these opportunities.  Let us at AG DTours provide you with first-hand experience and knowledge about Uruguayan agriculture, before you invest.

 

Categories
Articles Uncategorized

Top 5 Mistakes New Investors Make in Latin American Agriculture

AG DTours recently published an article in Agri Investor (an online global agri-investment intelligence publication) about common mistakes new investors make in Latin American agriculture. Below is an excerpt from the article:

“High net worth investors are increasingly looking at agricultural opportunities in Latin America, given falling stock and bond market yields, as well as rising land prices and falling cash returns in US agricultural markets. As an agricultural investor [I own an ag-based investment in Argentina], analyst and investment research trip provider [AG DTours], I have seen how title issues, poor prior financial planning and due diligence, improper asset management selection and a failure to embrace the culture can quickly sour exciting investments in Latin America…”

Take a look at our article at Agri Investor’s website outlining the five key mistakes new investors make in Latin American agriculture and how to avoid them.

https://www.agriinvestor.com/top-5-mistakes-new-investors-make-in-latam-agri/

Categories
Agricultural Investing Argentina Articles Cattle Investing South American Agriculture Uncategorized Uruguay

Farmland as an Asset Class & Personal Advice from Successful International Investors

Below is a great excerpt from a recent Q&A session with international, multi-millionaire investor Doug Casey and author/analyst for Casey Research’s Crisis Investing publication Nick Giambruno.  Doug and Nick answer questions about their personal asset allocations and give their thoughts on farmland as an asset class.  Find my areas of interest in bold and comments in []

[QUESTION] WHAT IS YOUR PERSONAL ASSET ALLOCATION?

Doug Casey: I’m heavily in gold, to preserve capital. I own a lot of speculative resource stocks, because they’re very cheap now; I’ll sell them when they, too, become a bubble. I’m moving into commodities—grains and cattle are both quite cheap. [Argentina hosts of wide variety of agricultural opportunities at competitive prices, including cattle pasture land.  Pasture land is available in the $400 – $1,200/acre range, depending on the quality of the soil and availability of water.  In April 2016, Argentina’s beef exports were up 25% from April 2015, likely due in part to the USDA’s lifting of a 14-year hold on the importation of Argentine beef products.  High quality, fattening pasture land is available for approximately $2,000/acre.  Not counting the initial land investment and feed costs, it’s possible to yield a 40-45% annual ROI per head of cattle. Uruguay also offers an extremely developed and quality cattle operation.  Uruguay’s beef products are 100% traceable (the only place in the world this occurs), export to over 150 world markets, and nearly all of their 12 million cows are raised on natural pastures and among superior quality and sanitation practices where hormones and antibiotics are forbidden.]  And a lot of rural real estate, especially outside the US, because political risks are at least as great as market risks today.

Nick Giambruno: I own a lot of precious metals–related assets, some dividend aristocrats, some cash and some foreign real estate.

I am particularly fond of foreign real estate. I think of it like a diversification grand slam. [AG DTours believes in taking this one step further: owning agricultural land in a foreign country.  It offers diversification, a tangle storage of wealth, income generation, and a level of protection from volatile US markets.]

Like a grand slam in baseball, owning foreign real estate is the most potent move possible in a single play. It accomplishes four goals at once…

  1. Move Savings Abroad

Though it’s illiquid and has carrying costs, foreign real estate can function as a hard asset with diplomatic immunity. It’s an asset outside the immediate reach of your home government. It’s highly unlikely they can seize it.

  2. Create Other Diversification Options

In most cases, owning foreign real estate in a country provides a valid justification for you to open a financial account in that foreign country (whereas you may not have been able to before). [Many of these same opportunities are available with the ownership of agricultural land as well].  Obtaining real estate in a foreign country usually gives you some sort of residency, sometimes a shortened path to citizenship, and, in the case of certain countries, like Dominica and St. Kitts and Nevis, immediate citizenship and a second passport. Owning foreign real estate provides you with a second home, potentially a place to retire and an emergency bolt-hole that you could, in an instant, always escape to in case of trouble in your home country.

  3. Portfolio Diversification

Foreign real estate is a tangible hard asset that has diversification benefits for a traditional portfolio of stocks, bonds, precious metals, etc. It has the potential for capital appreciation as well as the ability to generate rental income in a currency other than the US dollar. [While an ag-based investment won’t generate rental income unless your investment also has a residence on it, it can generate income from the sale of the commodities it produces].

  4. Privacy and Tax Benefits

Owning foreign real estate is one of the very few ways that Americans can legally keep some of their wealth abroad while retaining their financial privacy. If the foreign real estate is held directly in your name (i.e., not in a trust, LLC, real estate fund, partnership, etc.), it is not reportable (although any rental income must be reported). [There are just as many tax and business incentives with a Latin American-based agricultural investment.  For more details, check out our white paper on the homepage of our website.]

I’ve personally invested in Colombian real estate. I also think Argentina is very attractive right now. With the election of a pro-market president, Mauricio Macri, there’s a good chance Argentina is also turning the corner to a brighter economic future. That, along with the incredible lifestyle, is why I’m now happily an owner at Doug’s La Estancia de Cafayate. I consider both Colombia and Argentina to be good examples of crisis investing in action.

[QUESTION] IS FARMLAND THE NEXT ASSET CLASS TO SHOOT UP, ALONG WITH GOLD, AND WHAT IS THE BEST WAY TO PLAY IT?

Doug Casey: Well, let me reemphasize that basically all the agricultural commodities are very cheap, and cattle are again very cheap. I think agricultural commodities are going much higher. Like the metals, they’ve been in a five-year bear market. Farmland I think will go up, too. [These are the precisely the types of opportunities AG DTours wants to provide you first-hand experience with in Latin America.  The availability of US farmland is decreasing, prices are rising, and annual returns are falling.  Latin American agriculture can by the alternative investment solution in which many US investors are seeking.]  

Nick Giambruno: I think farmland is the ultimate hard asset. Like gold, its value can’t be diluted by central bankers. Unlike gold, it produces food, the most basic of human needs.

Source:  Doug and Nick Answer Your Crisis Investing Questions

 

Categories
Agricultural Investing Argentina Articles South American Agriculture Uncategorized

Argentina’s Improving Agricultural Investment Climate

Below is an excerpt from our white paper about the improving agricultural investment climate in Argentina.  Don’t hesitate to reach out to us at contact@agdtours.com for more information about how to experience these opportunities for yourself.

Taxes on agricultural commodities are shrinking by the day.  Shortly after his election in December 2015, President Maurico Macri ushered in a new more market-friendly administration which immediately began implementing a series of agriculturally beneficial tax reforms.  He reduced the export tax on soybeans and its byproducts by 5% and eliminated all export taxes on all other remaining commodities.  These commodities with a new zero percent export tax include meat products, grains, fruits, and vegetables.  He also eliminated export permit requirements for grains and oilseeds and removed the country’s foreign exchange restrictions, which devalued the Argentine peso by approximately 45%[i].  This action allowed the peso to float freely in relation to the USD, nearly eliminating the “black market” for the USD almost overnight.  Many of these changes are expected to significantly improve farmer returns and encourage greater wheat and corn planting for the 2016-17 season and beyond.  In March of 2016, the Argentine government suspended the collection of the $160 USD reciprocity fee from US passport holders who visit Argentina for less than 90 days for tourist or business purposes[ii].

Argentina is a home to a thriving agricultural industry, modest land prices, pro-foreigner land ownership practices, and emerging tax reforms for farmers.  It’s no wonder why an agricultural investment in Argentina is a viable investment alternative, one the founder of AG DTours and his family have already capitalized on.

[i] World Grain Staff, “Argentina reduces export tax on grains, oilseeds”, WORLD-GRAIN.com – The Grain and Grain Processing Information Site, February 8, 2016, http://www.world-grain.com/articles/news_home/World_Grain_News/2016/02/Argentina_reduces_export_tax_o.aspx?ID=%7B62B60C81-C80C-4D43-BAA9-81B0B3EDE01E%7D&cck=1, May 22, 2016.
[ii] Embassy of Argentina in the United States, “Reciprocity fee for US citizens”, Embassy of Argentina in the United States, March 24, 2016, http://www.embassyofargentina.us/en/consular-section/reciprocity-fee-for-us-citizens.html, May 22, 2016.
Categories
Agricultural Investing Articles Latin America Private Equity South American Agriculture Uncategorized

Spotlight on Latin America – Diverse by Country but Concentrated by Sector

Below is an excerpt on Latin America from the International Finance Corporation’s (IFC) May 2015 Report titled “Private Equity and Emerging Markets Agribusiness:  Building Value Through Sustainability”.  The report highlights trends in private equity investment in emerging markets agribusiness, including Latin America.

I’ve italicized parts I think are particularly interesting.

Spotlight on Latin America – Diverse by Country but Concentrated by Sector

As in Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin American agribusiness investments exhibit diversity by country but are slightly more concentrated with respect to sector (figure 11).

Figure 11: Latin America Agribusiness PE Deals by Country and Sub-Sector, 2008-2014

Latin America Agribusiness PE Deals by Country and Sub-Sector, 2008 - 2014

Of the three regions discussed, Latin America exhibits the greatest concentration of investments in forestry deals, which could be due to the climatic and soil conditions in South American countries. Based upon his experience with tree crops in Southeast Asia and South America, Pacific Agri Capital’s Randall observes, “The tropical belt yields on both a per-hectare and food-caloric basis that can be produced in Latin America are far greater than anywhere else in the world.” These growing conditions have created deal flow both in primary production of tree crops and in lumber processing companies.

Similar to other emerging market regions, a key constraint on agribusiness companies in Latin America is ensuring that their operations are fully capitalized. One distinctive feature of the region’s agribusiness environment, however, is that unlike India, parts of Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, investors in many Latin America countries can obtain freehold titled land. This makes it easier to pursue primary production opportunities and can facilitate an agribusiness firm’s ability to achieve scale and vertical integration.

Read the full report here

 

Categories
Articles Uncategorized

Argentina Relaxes Restrictions on Ownership of Rural Properties by Foreigners 

An interesting article about reforming Argentina’s rural land ownership requirements for foreigners, making them much more attractive to foreign investors.  My bold on some of the most interesting reforms.

 

Legal Alert:  Argentina Relaxes Restrictions on Ownership of Rural Properties by Foreigners

July 11, 2016
On June 29, 2016, the Argentine executive branch enacted decree 820/2016 (the New Decree), easing certain restrictions imposed under existing law on the acquisition and leasing of rural lands by foreign individuals and legal entities (Law No. 26,737, enacted in 2011 by the former administration, hereinafter, the Rural Land Law).

The New Decree reaffirms the decision of the elected Argentine president, Mauricio Macri, to repeal existing barriers restricting foreign investment. The Argentine government has made significant economic changes since President Macri began his term in December 2015, including an end to currency controls, new tax cuts, and the settlement of the sovereign debt dispute with holdouts after a 14-year litigation. New investment promotion programs also are in place, including investment incentives in sectors such as renewable energies and the timber industry.

The Rural Land Law imposed restrictions on the ownership or possession of rural land by foreign individuals and legal entities. In particular, the Rural Land Law imposed the following restrictions:

(a) A 15% limit on the total amount of “rural lands” in the Argentine territory that may be owned or possessed by foreign individuals or legal entities (as of July 2013, the regulatory agency determined that more than 267 million hectares—or more than 95% of the Argentine territory—were rural lands for the purposes of this law, while more than 15.8 million hectares were owned by foreign investors, representing less than 6% of the total rural lands);
(b) A 4.5% limit on the total amount of rural lands that can be owned by foreign individuals or legal entities from the same country (as of July 2013, around 1.13% of the rural lands was owned by American investors); and
(c) A 1,000 hectare limit of the “core area”, or the “equivalent surface” to be determined by the enforcement agency, that can be owned by the same foreign individual or legal entity. The regulatory agency set forth, at the provinces’ proposal, the equivalences to the core area. The New Decree calls on all of the provinces to review the current foreign ownership limits per province aiming to substantially increase the current maximums.

The New Decree aims at facilitating and enabling foreign investments in Argentine rural lands by clarifying certain unregulated issues and removing certain problems in real estate practices that arose since the enactment of the Rural Land Law in 2011. 

The most significant changes relate to determining when the Rural Land Law applies. According to the New Decree, the application of the Rural Land Law shall be determined by:

(a) The nationality of the residuary title owner, in the case of real property rights such as usufruct and superficiary rights, enabling possession of land for up to 50 and 70 years respectively;
(b) The nationality of the trustee, in the case of land held in trust (which can last for up to 30 years), instead of the nationality of the beneficiaries; and
(c) The proportional interests of the different equity-holders, in the case of land owned by a legal entity, in order to determine whether a single foreign individual or legal entity exceeds the 1,000 hectare limit of the “core area” or the “equivalent surface.”

Further, the New Decree defines a “Foreign Legal Entity” as any legal entity registered as an owner of rural lands (whether incorporated in Argentina or abroad) in which foreign individuals or legal entities, directly or indirectly, control the majority vote. An Argentine legal entity in which more than 51% of the outstanding capital is owned by foreign individuals or legal entities shall be presumed to be a Foreign Legal Entity for the purposes of the Rural Land Law, subject to rebuttal by the interested party.

Finally, the New Decree modifies certain reporting requirements and the consequences for failing to comply with such requirements. According to the Rural Land Law, all foreign legal entities owning or in possession of rural lands had the obligation to disclose any modification in their capital stock. Further, the breach of this obligation triggered tax and money-laundering prevention auditing by the respective government agencies (the Federal Tax Authority and the Financial Information Unit).

The New Decree qualifies this reporting requirement by requiring disclosure of changes in the control of Foreign Legal Entities, while it eliminates the audit inspections triggered by a failure to comply with the reporting requirement.

The New Decree is expected to increase the interest of foreign investors in existing opportunities in the timber and agribusiness industries in Argentina. Since President Macri began his term in December 2015, there have been announcements of foreign direct investment of more than $15 billion in Argentina.

 

Source: Legal Alert: Argentina Relaxes Restrictions on Ownership of Rural Properties by Foreigners – Sutherland Asbill & Brennan LLP